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38 worldviews ranked on paper · 2 community worldviews

Heatmap · paper

Held most:

AI chip exports licensed 21% −8 pts. Opens: Frontier AI models from leading labs will become available and deployed in Europe and Japan in the near term.China top 3 AI model 18% −5 pts. Opens: The rise of AI and doomscrolling will companies and services that favors humans Cancer vaccine BLA filed 66% −2 pts. Opens: We will cure cancer Peace talks commence 39% −7 pts. Opens: the US is swinging more towards republicans

priced 14:13 UTC

Copper gets 232 tariffs 24% 28%AI chip exports licensed 29% 21%

14 rose8 flat16 fell

China's economy stumbles+0.5%US and China−1.0%AI arms race−1.4%China will win…−6.4%US elections+0.9%US is swinging more towards republicans−2.3%Ukraine ultimately wins…flat Russia's territorialflat Russian gains…flat Ukraine warflat Western Europe−1.1%Middle East spirals−1.9%US and Iran−1.1%Rise of AI−0.8%Interest rates−1.0%US housing market−2.8%+1.0%Emerging markets…+0.9%Chinese and the restflat Google wins the AI race and OpenAI…−2.0%LLM IQ has topped+2.0%AI arms race−0.3%GLP over GPT+4.0%Frontier AI…−14%AI capex…flat Compute investment−0.7%AI…+0.4%AI bubble…+0.4%De-dollarization accelerates and the…−1.6%My take on society−1.3%Bullmar…+1.1%Crypto bull run+0.7%We will cure cancer+0.5%Bird flu jumps…flat Climate change+0.6%Nuclear energyflat Arsenal…+0.5%

China's economy stumbles+0.5%US and China−1.0%AI arms race−1.4%China will win the AI race against US…−6.4%US elections+0.9%US is swinging more towards republicans−2.3%Ukraine ultimately wins the war as…flat Russia's territorialflat Russian gains in Ukraine will pick up…flat Ukraine warflat Western Europe−1.1%Middle East spirals−1.9%US and Iran−1.1%+1.5%Rise of AI−0.8%Interest rates−1.0%US housing market−2.8%+1.0%Emerging markets outperform+0.9%Chinese and the restflat Google wins the AI race and OpenAI…−2.0%LLM IQ has topped+2.0%AI arms race−0.3%GLP over GPT+4.0%Frontier AI models−14%AI capex keeps compounding and Nvidia…flat Compute investment−0.7%AI…+0.4%AI bubble will blow up and the capital…+0.4%De-dollarization accelerates and the…−1.6%My take on society−1.3%Bullmarket for crypto+1.1%+0.7%We will cure cancer+0.5%Bird flu jumps to humans and becomes…flat Climate change+0.6%Nuclear energyflat Arsenal remain the best team in…+0.5%

China's economy stumbles+0.5%US and China−1.0%AI arms race−1.4%China will win the AI race against US…−6.4%US elections+0.9%US is swinging more towards republicans−2.3%Ukraine ultimately wins the war as…flat Russia's territorialflat Russian gains in Ukraine will pick up…flat Ukraine warflat Western Europe−1.1%Middle East spirals−1.9%US and Iran−1.1%+1.5%Rise of AI−0.8%Interest rates−1.0%US housing market−2.8%Trumps tariffs backfire+1.0%Emerging markets outperform+0.9%Chinese and the restflat Google wins the AI race and OpenAI…−2.0%LLM IQ has topped+2.0%AI arms race−0.3%GLP over GPT+4.0%Frontier AI models−14%AI capex keeps compounding and Nvidia…flat Compute investment−0.7%AI datacenter buildout+0.4%AI bubble will blow up and the capital…+0.4%De-dollarization accelerates and the…−1.6%My take on society−1.3%Bullmarket for crypto+1.1%Crypto bull run+0.7%We will cure cancer+0.5%Bird flu jumps to humans and becomes…flat Climate change+0.6%Nuclear energyflat Arsenal remain the best team in…+0.5%

Any block opens the worldview behind it.

marked 14:00 UTC

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Autonomous Finance Arbitrage Vault V2
AUTO2 · autonomous_af
$106.58k managed · Instant deposits
+5.12%
Gross since inception
as of Sep 3, 14:31 UTCInvest in Autonomous Finance Arbitrage Vault V2

2 community worldviews · 1 strategy

Leaderboard · paper

All30d7d

1
Google wins the AI race and OpenAI loses its crown
15 bets · since Aug 15
+77.8%
2
China's economy stumbles into a deflationary decade
12 bets · since Aug 14
+23.0%
3
De-dollarization accelerates and the dollar loses its reserve crown
14 bets · since Aug 14
+19.2%
4
Arsenal remain the best team in England, Chelsea massively rebound under Xabi
5 bets · since Aug 18
+8.7%
5
The US elections will result in the Democratic Party winning both chambers of Congress and the start of impeachment
7 bets · since Aug 17
+8.2%

38 worldviews ranked · 1 new

From worldview to vault

Write it
“Google wins the AI race and OpenAI loses its crown”
Built Aug 15 · 15 bets
Tracked on paper
+77.8%
since Aug 15
Ranked
#1 of 38
Ranks after 7 days with 3 or more bets
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